Caboolture vs Capalaba Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Queensland Premier League Regular Season - 13 Saturday, May 30, 2026 08:00

Caboolture PPG 1.33

2-1 HIT CS3

Capalaba PPG 1.00

Home + BTTS· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.1%

Odds: 1.28 EV: -16.7%

Draw 20.3%

Odds: 5.60 EV: +8.2%

Away 14.5%

Odds: 7.00 EV: +0.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 80.0% Odds: 1.22 -2.4%

Over 3.5 58.1% Odds: 1.53 -11.1%

BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.38 -12.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1 ✘

2nd 4-1 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Caboolture

3.77

Capalaba

1.27

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home + BTTS (+8.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)