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Redlands vs SC Wanderers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Saturday, May 30, 2026, 08:00

Redlands

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

SC Wanderers

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-14.8%0-23.6%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-06.2%1-19.3%1-27.0%1-33.5%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.9%3-15.9%3-24.4%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.4%4+-23.3%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 33.3% 3.00 +49.4%

Draw 22.5% 29.9% 3.35 -14.8%

Away win 27.7% 46.5% 2.15 -24.3%

Over 2.5 64.1% 70.4% 1.42 -9.0%

Over 3.5 42.1% 48.8% 2.05 -13.7%

BTTS 63.4% 73.5% 1.36 -13.8%

Home O1.5 57.7% 51.8% 1.93 +11.4%

Away O1.5 44.1% 59.9% 1.67 -26.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Redlands1.9

SC Wanderers1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

REDLANDS · PPG 1.33

SC WANDERERS · PPG 1.17

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Redlands (H) 49.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +49.4%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -14.8%

SC Wanderers (A) 27.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Redlands face SC Wanderers in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Redlands a 50% chance, the draw 23% and SC Wanderers 28%, so Redlands are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Redlands and 1.5 for SC Wanderers (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Redlands are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.17 for SC Wanderers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +49.4%.

Redlands vs SC Wanderers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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