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SC Wanderers vs North Star Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 08:00

SC Wanderers

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

North Star

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.9%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.2%1-15.7%1-23.1%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.7%2-18.4%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.6%3-18.2%3-24.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-011.5%4+-112.5%4+-26.8%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.2% — — —

Draw 18.8% — — —

Away win 17.9% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 46.8% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 74.3% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.6%

H 63% / xG 2.9-1.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.4%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 3–0 7.6%

#5 1–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Wanderers2.9

North Star1.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SC WANDERERS · PPG 1.50

NORTH STAR · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

SC Wanderers (H) 63.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

North Star (A) 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Wanderers face North Star in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Wanderers a 63% chance, the draw 19% and North Star 18%, so SC Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for SC Wanderers and 1.1 for North Star (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Wanderers are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.14 for North Star. This match finished 1-0.

SC Wanderers vs North Star Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Queensland Premier League Predictions