← Back to picks 
Australia - Queensland Premier League Friday, June 5, 2026 10:30 
Logan Lightning PPG 1.00 
Capalaba PPG 0.80
Australia - Queensland Premier League Friday, June 5, 2026 10:30 Logan Lightning PPG 1.00VS PENDING
Capalaba PPG 0.80Home + BTTS· +8.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 73.6% Odds: 1.33 -2.1%
Over 3.5 52.1% Odds: 1.85 -3.6%
BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.42 -9.7%
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 4-1
Expected Goals (xG)
Logan Lightning 2.90
Capalaba 1.39
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -2.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home + BTTS (+8.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home + BTTS (+8.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.80)