Taftea vs Umea FC Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland Norrland - 11 Monday, June 8, 2026 17:00

Taftea PPG 2.25

VS PENDING

Umea FC PPG 1.25

Away· +19.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Taftea face Umea FC in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taftea a 65% chance, the draw 18% and Umea FC 17%, so Taftea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Taftea and 1.4 for Umea FC (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taftea are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.25 for Umea FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.8%

Odds: 1.28 EV: -17.1%

Draw 18.2%

Odds: 5.40 EV: -1.0%

Away 17.0%

Odds: 7.75 EV: +19.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.1% Odds: 1.25 -2.4%

Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: 1.65 -10.2%

BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.42 -9.7%

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1

2nd 4-1

3rd 2-1

4th 3-0

5th 5-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Taftea

3.75

Umea FC

1.36

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 30%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=64.8%