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Storfors vs Boden Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 11:00

Storfors

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Boden

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-17.7%0-27.8%0-35.2%0-4+4.2%1 1-04.8%1-19.6%1-29.7%1-36.5%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.0%2-16.0%2-26.0%2-34.1%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.2%3-12.5%3-22.5%3-31.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.0%4+-21.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 49.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 61.4% — — —

Home O1.5 46.9% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -30.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob61.4%

A 50% / xG 1.2-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2✓ 7.8%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 0–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Storfors1.2

Boden2.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STORFORS · PPG 1.00

BODEN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Storfors (H) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boden (A) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Storfors face Boden in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Storfors a 28% chance, the draw 22% and Boden 50%, so Boden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Storfors and 2.0 for Boden (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Storfors are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Boden. This match finished 0-2.

Storfors vs Boden Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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