Skelleftea vs IFK Umea Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland Norrland - 11 Saturday, June 6, 2026 11:00

Skelleftea PPG 1.75

VS PENDING

IFK Umea PPG 0.00

Away· +86.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Skelleftea face IFK Umea in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skelleftea a 75% chance, the draw 18% and IFK Umea 7%, so Skelleftea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Skelleftea and 0.5 for IFK Umea (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skelleftea are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.00 for IFK Umea. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +86.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 74.6%

Odds: 1.01 EV: -24.6%

Draw 18.2%

Odds: 12.00 EV: +71.0%

Away 7.2%

Odds: 34.00 EV: +86.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.6% Odds: 1.12 -17.6%

Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: 1.33 -27.7%

BTTS 48.0% Odds: 2.55 +22.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0

2nd 4-0

3rd 2-0

4th 5-0

5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Skelleftea

3.88

IFK Umea

0.53

Model SuggestionHome -24.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+86.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 83%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 17%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data