Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland / Lucksta vs Fransta

Lucksta vs Fransta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - 10 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 12:00

Lucksta

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fransta

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.1%0-20.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-02.4%1-13.6%1-22.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.1%2-16.3%2-24.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.7%3-17.2%3-25.5%3-32.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-09.7%4+-114.9%4+-211.4%4+-35.9%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.2% — — —

Draw 18.5% — — —

Away win 19.3% — — —

Over 2.5 78.1% — — —

Over 3.5 54.4% — — —

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 74.3% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -30.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.5%

H 62% / xG 3.4-1.5 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.2%

#2 2–1 6.3%

#3 4–1 6.2%

#4 3–2 5.5%

#5 2–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lucksta3.4

Fransta1.5

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.1% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LUCKSTA · PPG 2.00

FRANSTA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=62.2%

Win probability 1X2

Lucksta (H) 62.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fransta (A) 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lucksta face Fransta in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lucksta a 62% chance, the draw 19% and Fransta 19%, so Lucksta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Lucksta and 1.5 for Fransta (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lucksta are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Fransta. This match finished 3-3.

Lucksta vs Fransta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland Predictions