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Storfors vs Skelleftea Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - 10 ·Wednesday, June 3, 2026, 17:30

Storfors

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Skelleftea

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-15.0%0-27.8%0-38.1%0-4+13.9%1 1-01.6%1-15.1%1-27.9%1-38.2%1-4+14.0%2 2-00.8%2-12.5%2-24.0%2-34.1%2-4+7.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.9%3-21.3%3-31.4%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.6% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 66.9% — — —

Over 2.5 67.6% — — —

Over 3.5 46.8% — — —

BTTS 61.4% — — —

Home O1.5 36.7% — — —

Away O1.5 77.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -30.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob61.4%

A 67% / xG 1.0-3.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3✓ 8.2%

#2 0–3 8.1%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 0–2 7.8%

#5 1–4 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Storfors1.0

Skelleftea3.1

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.6% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STORFORS · PPG 1.33

SKELLEFTEA · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Storfors (H) 13.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skelleftea (A) 66.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Storfors face Skelleftea in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Storfors a 14% chance, the draw 20% and Skelleftea 67%, so Skelleftea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Storfors and 3.1 for Skelleftea (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Storfors are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.33 for Skelleftea. This match finished 1-3.

Storfors vs Skelleftea Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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