Dainava vs Garliava Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 1 Monday, June 8, 2026 16:00

Dainava PPG 2.25

VS PENDING

Garliava PPG 1.40

Away· +7.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dainava face Garliava in Lithuania - 1 Lyga on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dainava a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Garliava 36%, so Dainava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dainava and 1.3 for Garliava (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dainava are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.40 for Garliava. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.1%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -26.0%

Draw 28.0%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -5.4%

Away 35.9%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +7.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.2% Odds: 1.70 -9.6%

Over 3.5 31.1% Odds: 2.56 -20.4%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.55 -14.1%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-2

4th 0-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Dainava

1.26

Garliava

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -57.8%

Bet Hit 25% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=36.1%