Jonava vs Minija Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 1 Sunday, June 7, 2026 15:00

Jonava PPG 1.60

VS PENDING

Minija PPG 2.40

HomeO15· +72.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jonava face Minija in Lithuania - 1 Lyga on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jonava a 15% chance, the draw 22% and Minija 63%, so Minija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Jonava and 2.4 for Minija (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jonava are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.40 for Minija. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +72.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.0%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -15.0%

Draw 21.7%

Odds: 4.50 EV: -1.4%

Away 63.4%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -8.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.75 +12.2%

Over 3.5 39.3% Odds: 2.69 +5.7%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.93 +6.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2

2nd 0-2

3rd 1-1

4th 1-3

5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Jonava

1.02

Minija

2.44

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +12.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: HomeO15(+72.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -53.9%

Bet Hit 27% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.60)