Today / Albania - Superliga / Partizani T. vs Dinamo Tirana

Partizani T. vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 36 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 14:00

Partizani T. logo
Partizani T.
PPG 1.35 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
Dinamo Tirana logo
Dinamo Tirana
PPG 1.24 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-116.4%0-28.7%0-33.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.5%1-113.2%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.0%2-15.3%2-22.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.4%3-11.4%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.8%
Draw 34.7%
Away win 37.6%
Over 2.5 35.1%
Over 3.5 12.0%
BTTS 48.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -61.7%
Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.2%

D 35% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.4%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 0–1 16.4%
#4 1–0 12.5%
#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Partizani T.0.8
Dinamo Tirana1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 12.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PARTIZANI T. · PPG 1.35

DINAMO TIRANA · PPG 1.24

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.35), Away AVERAGE (1.24)

Win probability 1X2

Partizani T. (H) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 34.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Dinamo Tirana (A) 37.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Partizani T. face Dinamo Tirana in Albania - Superliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partizani T. a 28% chance, the draw 35% and Dinamo Tirana 38%, so Dinamo Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Partizani T. and 1.1 for Dinamo Tirana (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partizani T. are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.24 for Dinamo Tirana. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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