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Bylis vs AF Elbasani Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 35 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 14:00

Bylis

PPG 1.53 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

AF Elbasani

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.53), Away GOOD (1.53)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-113.5%0-28.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.6%2-16.6%2-23.9%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.2%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 36.4% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 17.5% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.0%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 13.5%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bylis1.0

AF Elbasani1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BYLIS · PPG 1.53

AF ELBASANI · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.53), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Bylis (H) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AF Elbasani (A) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bylis face AF Elbasani in Albania - Superliga on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bylis a 35% chance, the draw 29% and AF Elbasani 36%, so AF Elbasani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Bylis and 1.2 for AF Elbasani (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bylis are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.53 for AF Elbasani. This match finished 2-1.

Bylis vs AF Elbasani Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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