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Egnatia R. vs Partizani T. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 35 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 14:00

Egnatia R.

PPG 1.71 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Partizani T.

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-19.3%0-23.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.6%1-112.6%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.5%2-18.5%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.7%3-13.8%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 17.3% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.2%

H 48% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 15.6%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 2–0✓ 10.5%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Egnatia R.1.4

Partizani T.0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.3%

Form & verdict PPG

EGNATIA R. · PPG 1.71

PARTIZANI T. · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Egnatia R. (H) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Partizani T. (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Egnatia R. face Partizani T. in Albania - Superliga on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Egnatia R. a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Partizani T. 25%, so Egnatia R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Egnatia R. and 0.8 for Partizani T. (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Egnatia R. are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.29 for Partizani T.. This match finished 2-0.

Egnatia R. vs Partizani T. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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