Today / Albania - Superliga / Teuta Durres vs Egnatia R.

Teuta Durres vs Egnatia R. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 36 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 14:00

Teuta Durres

PPG 1.18 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Egnatia R.

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.3%0-117.2%0-27.3%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.1%1-112.9%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.7%2-14.8%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.4%3-11.2%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% — — —

Draw 34.4% — — —

Away win 34.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 7.8% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.9%

D 34% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.3%

#2 0–1 17.2%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 15.1%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teuta Durres0.7

Egnatia R.0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 7.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTA DURRES · PPG 1.18

EGNATIA R. · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Teuta Durres (H) 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Egnatia R. (A) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teuta Durres face Egnatia R. in Albania - Superliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teuta Durres a 31% chance, the draw 34% and Egnatia R. 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Teuta Durres and 0.8 for Egnatia R. (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teuta Durres are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.47 for Egnatia R.. This match finished 3-2.

Teuta Durres vs Egnatia R. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Albania - Superliga Predictions