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Viggbyholms vs Lidingo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 11:00

Viggbyholms

PPG 0.60 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lidingo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-18.5%0-27.4%0-34.3%0-4+2.8%1 1-06.2%1-110.8%1-29.5%1-35.5%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.0%2-16.9%2-26.1%2-33.5%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.7%3-13.0%3-22.6%3-31.5%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.6% 39.2% 2.55 -16.9%

Draw 24.9% 27.8% 3.60 -6.2%

Away win 42.5% 42.9% 2.33 -1.0%

Over 2.5 60.7% 67.6% 1.48 -10.2%

Over 3.5 36.6% 45.5% 2.20 -19.5%

BTTS 61.4% 71.4% 1.40 -14.0%

Home O1.5 46.9% 52.6% 1.90 -10.9%

Away O1.5 44.6% 55.6% 1.80 -19.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.4%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.4%

#4 2–1 6.9%

#5 0–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viggbyholms1.3

Lidingo1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VIGGBYHOLMS · PPG 0.60

LIDINGO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.60) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Viggbyholms (H) 32.6%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -16.9%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.2%

Lidingo (A) 42.5%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viggbyholms face Lidingo in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viggbyholms a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Lidingo 43%, so Lidingo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Viggbyholms and 1.7 for Lidingo (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viggbyholms are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Lidingo. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +17.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Viggbyholms vs Lidingo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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