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Sunnersta vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 20 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Sunnersta

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLD

UPCOMING

Enskede

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDWW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 66% chance

Model probability 65.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.2%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.9%1-19.0%1-24.1%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.8%2-19.8%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.8%3-17.1%3-23.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-16.4%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% 57.8% 1.73 -4.2%

Draw 21.7% 25.6% 3.90 -9.2%

Away win 22.9% 27.8% 3.60 -10.5%

Over 2.5 60.6% 66.7% 1.50 -9.1%

Over 3.5 37.4% 45.5% 2.20 -17.7%

BTTS 55.0% 65.4% 1.53 -15.8%

Home O1.5 65.3% 66.7% 1.50 -2.1%

Away O1.5 26.1% 42.9% 2.33 -23.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.0%

H 55% / xG 2.2-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–0 10.8%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sunnersta2.2

Enskede0.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SUNNERSTA · PPG 2.33

ENSKEDE · PPG 1.11

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sunnersta (H) 55.4%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -4.2%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.2%

Enskede (A) 22.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sunnersta face Enskede in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sunnersta a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Enskede 23%, so Sunnersta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sunnersta and 0.9 for Enskede (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sunnersta are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.11 for Enskede.

Sunnersta vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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