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Bollstanäs vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 20 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Bollstanäs

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

UPCOMING

Angby

PPG 2.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 67% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.1%0-24.9%0-33.1%0-4+2.3%1 1-04.5%1-18.7%1-28.3%1-35.4%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.9%2-17.4%2-27.2%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-02.2%3-14.2%3-24.1%3-32.6%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.7%4+-22.6%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 47.6% 2.10 -24.4%

Draw 21.7% 26.7% 3.75 -11.2%

Away win 42.3% 37.0% 2.70 +14.2%

Over 2.5 68.4% 66.7% 1.50 +2.6%

Over 3.5 45.0% 47.6% 2.10 -5.5%

BTTS 63.5% 69.4% 1.44 -8.6%

Home O1.5 49.9% 58.1% 1.72 -14.2%

Away O1.5 58.3% 54.3% 1.84 +7.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -3.5%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.5%

A 42% / xG 1.7-1.9 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bollstanäs1.7

Angby1.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLLSTANÄS · PPG 1.44

ANGBY · PPG 2.22

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

67%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bollstanäs (H) 36.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -24.4%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -11.2%

Angby (A) 42.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bollstanäs face Angby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bollstanäs a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Angby 42%, so Angby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Bollstanäs and 1.9 for Angby (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bollstanäs are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.22 for Angby. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +17.0%.

Bollstanäs vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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