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Helges vs Kungsangen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 11:00

Helges

PPG 0.60 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kungsangen

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-112.5%0-27.6%0-33.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.8%1-113.2%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.7%2-17.0%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.0%3-12.5%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 34.5% 2.90 +4.7%

Draw 28.0% 26.0% 3.85 +4.7%

Away win 35.9% 50.0% 2.00 -28.2%

Over 2.5 48.7% 67.6% 1.48 -27.9%

Over 3.5 28.0% 45.5% 2.20 -23.0%

BTTS 52.0% 70.4% 1.42 -26.2%

Home O1.5 39.5% 47.6% 2.10 -17.1%

Away O1.5 32.0% 58.8% 1.70 -45.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.0%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Helges1.1

Kungsangen1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HELGES · PPG 0.60

KUNGSANGEN · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Helges (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +4.7%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +4.7%

Kungsangen (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -28.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Helges face Kungsangen in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Helges a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Kungsangen 36%, so Helges are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Helges and 1.2 for Kungsangen (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Helges are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.00 for Kungsangen. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.7%. This match finished 1-4.

Helges vs Kungsangen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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