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Franke vs Bollstanas Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 11:00

Franke

PPG 2.40 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Bollstanas

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.4%0-21.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.4%1-16.3%1-24.6%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.4%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-05.2%3-17.5%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-19.4%4+-26.8%4+-33.3%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.7% 54.6% 1.83 +1.9%

Draw 20.9% 26.0% 3.85 -11.7%

Away win 23.5% 29.4% 3.40 -12.1%

Over 2.5 65.4% 71.4% 1.40 -8.4%

Over 3.5 44.8% 50.0% 2.00 -10.4%

BTTS 63.5% 72.5% 1.38 -12.4%

Home O1.5 68.8% 65.4% 1.53 +5.3%

Away O1.5 36.6% 47.6% 2.10 -23.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 56% / xG 2.7-1.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.4%

#2 3–1 7.5%

#3 1–1 6.3%

#4 2–2✓ 6.1%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Franke2.7

Bollstanas1.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FRANKE · PPG 2.40

BOLLSTANAS · PPG 1.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.40) > Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Franke (H) 55.7%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV +1.9%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -11.7%

Bollstanas (A) 23.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -12.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Franke face Bollstanas in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Franke a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Bollstanas 24%, so Franke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Franke and 1.4 for Bollstanas (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Franke are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.60 for Bollstanas. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +22.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Franke vs Bollstanas Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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