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Broadbeach United vs SC Wanderers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Semi-finals ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 05:00

Broadbeach United

PPG 2.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

SC Wanderers

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-14.6%0-22.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.3%1-19.5%1-25.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.7%2-19.9%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.0%3-16.8%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-15.7%4+-23.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.4% 52.4% 1.91 -3.7%

Draw 21.0% 27.4% 3.65 -14.0%

Away win 28.6% 30.8% 3.25 -4.2%

Over 2.5 61.0% 64.5% 1.55 -5.5%

Over 3.5 38.4% 42.0% 2.38 -8.6%

BTTS 56.7% 67.6% 1.48 -16.1%

Home O1.5 60.2% 58.8% 1.70 +2.3%

Away O1.5 33.2% 43.5% 2.30 -23.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 22.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob56.7%

H 50% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 1–2 5.4%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadbeach United2.1

SC Wanderers1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.0% · O3.5 PROB 38.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADBEACH UNITED · PPG 2.64

SC WANDERERS · PPG 1.82

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.94 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Broadbeach United (H) 50.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -3.7%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -14.0%

SC Wanderers (A) 28.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadbeach United face SC Wanderers in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadbeach United a 50% chance, the draw 21% and SC Wanderers 29%, so Broadbeach United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Broadbeach United and 1.1 for SC Wanderers (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadbeach United are averaging 2.64 points per game versus 1.82 for SC Wanderers. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +16.4%.

Broadbeach United vs SC Wanderers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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