Blacktown City vs Rockdale Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 18 Landen Stadium· Sydney Sunday, June 7, 2026 05:00

Blacktown City PPG 0.88

VS PENDING

Rockdale PPG 1.38

Home· +18.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Blacktown City face Rockdale in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blacktown City a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Rockdale 36%, so Blacktown City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Blacktown City and 1.6 for Rockdale (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blacktown City are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.38 for Rockdale. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.6%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +18.8%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -7.2%

Away 35.6%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -27.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.7% Odds: 1.53 -7.1%

Over 3.5 36.6% Odds: 2.30 -15.8%

BTTS 61.4% Odds: 1.44 -11.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 2-1

4th 0-0

5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Blacktown City

1.44

Rockdale

1.59

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+18.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.88) vs Away AVERAGE (1.38)