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Dock Sud vs Comunicaciones Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 34 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 16:00

Dock Sud

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDWW

UPCOMING

Comunicaciones

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 49% chance

Combined xG of 2.1 puts the goal expectation near the line. Model probability 44.2% vs bookmaker-implied 40.0% — a clear edge.

+10.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-110.5%0-24.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-113.1%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.3%2-18.1%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.9%3-13.4%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 43.5% 2.30 +4.4%

Draw 27.8% 37.0% 2.70 -15.0%

Away win 26.9% 32.3% 3.10 -10.0%

Over 2.5 44.2% 40.0% 2.50 +10.5%

Over 3.5 24.0% 22.2% 4.50 +4.8%

BTTS 49.0% 50.0% 2.00 -2.0%

Home O1.5 35.7% 36.4% 2.75 -1.8%

Away O1.5 25.3% 26.7% 3.75 -3.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 178 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 17.5%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.0%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.9%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–0 12.0%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dock Sud1.2

Comunicaciones0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 24.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DOCK SUD · PPG 1.56

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 1.31

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

49%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.12 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dock Sud (H) 45.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +4.4%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -15.0%

Comunicaciones (A) 26.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dock Sud face Comunicaciones in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dock Sud a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Comunicaciones 27%, so Dock Sud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dock Sud and 0.9 for Comunicaciones (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dock Sud are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.31 for Comunicaciones. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +19.4%.

Dock Sud vs Comunicaciones Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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