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Real Pilar vs Talleres Remedios Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 34 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 18:00

Real Pilar

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWWD

UPCOMING

Talleres Remedios

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-118.0%0-28.9%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.0%1-112.9%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-04.6%2-14.6%2-22.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.1%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% 36.4% 2.75 -14.8%

Draw 32.3% 34.7% 2.88 -7.0%

Away win 36.6% 40.0% 2.50 -8.5%

Over 2.5 34.6% 42.4% 2.36 -18.3%

Over 3.5 18.2% 22.5% 4.45 -11.4%

BTTS 42.4% 51.3% 1.95 -17.3%

Home O1.5 30.8% 32.9% 3.04 -6.4%

Away O1.5 29.4% 35.3% 2.83 -10.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob42.4%

D 32% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%

#2 0–1 18.0%

#3 1–0 13.0%

#4 1–1 12.9%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Pilar0.7

Talleres Remedios1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL PILAR · PPG 1.56

TALLERES REMEDIOS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 1.71 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Real Pilar (H) 31.0%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -14.8%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -7.0%

Talleres Remedios (A) 36.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -8.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Pilar face Talleres Remedios in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Pilar a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Talleres Remedios 37%, so Talleres Remedios are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Real Pilar and 1.0 for Talleres Remedios (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Pilar are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 2.00 for Talleres Remedios.

Real Pilar vs Talleres Remedios Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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