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Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 34 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 16:00

Deportivo Camioneros

PPG 1.88 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDWD

UPCOMING

Argentino Quilmes

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLLL

// Model verdict

Home 58% chance

Model probability 52.5% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-18.5%0-22.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.3%1-111.5%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.0%2-17.8%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.9%3-13.5%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-11.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% 59.9% 1.67 -12.3%

Draw 26.1% 31.3% 3.20 -9.9%

Away win 21.4% 21.1% 4.75 +1.0%

Over 2.5 42.7% 42.6% 2.35 +0.3%

Over 3.5 20.9% 23.1% 4.33 -5.7%

BTTS 43.3% 45.5% 2.20 -4.7%

Home O1.5 39.5% 47.6% 2.10 -17.1%

Away O1.5 15.4% 22.2% 4.50 -18.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob43.3%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.3%

#2 0–0 14.3%

#3 2–0 13.0%

#4 1–1 11.5%

#5 0–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Camioneros1.4

Argentino Quilmes0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.88

ARGENTINO QUILMES · PPG 1.12

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

58%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Camioneros (H) 52.5%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -12.3%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -9.9%

Argentino Quilmes (A) 21.4%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Camioneros face Argentino Quilmes in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Camioneros a 53% chance, the draw 26% and Argentino Quilmes 21%, so Deportivo Camioneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Deportivo Camioneros and 0.6 for Argentino Quilmes (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Camioneros are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.12 for Argentino Quilmes. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +0.3%.

Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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