Today / Macva Sabac vs Jedinstvo U.

Macva Sabac vs Jedinstvo U. Prediction

Championship Group - 31 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 16:00

Macva Sabac

PPG 2.40 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Jedinstvo U.

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away AVERAGE (1.21) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-12.8%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.6%1-17.0%1-22.3%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-18.8%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.0%3-17.3%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.4%4+-18.3%4+-22.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.3% — — —

Draw 14.8% — — —

Away win 7.9% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 38.9% — — —

BTTS 44.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.7%

H 77% / xG 2.5-0.7 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 13.2%

#2 3–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 2–1 8.8%

#5 3–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Macva Sabac2.5

Jedinstvo U.0.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MACVA SABAC · PPG 2.40

JEDINSTVO U. · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away AVERAGE (1.21) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Macva Sabac (H) 77.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jedinstvo U. (A) 7.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Macva Sabac face Jedinstvo U. on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Macva Sabac a 77% chance, the draw 15% and Jedinstvo U. 8%, so Macva Sabac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Macva Sabac and 0.7 for Jedinstvo U. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Macva Sabac are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.21 for Jedinstvo U.. This match finished 2-0.

Macva Sabac vs Jedinstvo U. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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