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Skiljebo vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 11 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 14:00

Skiljebo

PPG 2.20 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Enskede

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.2%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.1%1-19.1%1-25.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.8%2-19.8%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.3%3-17.1%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-16.3%4+-23.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% 51.3% 1.95 +4.5%

Draw 22.6% 27.0% 3.70 -9.8%

Away win 23.8% 33.3% 3.00 -17.2%

Over 2.5 64.0% 65.4% 1.53 -2.1%

Over 3.5 39.2% 44.4% 2.25 -11.8%

BTTS 60.6% 65.4% 1.53 -7.3%

Home O1.5 60.4% 57.8% 1.73 +4.5%

Away O1.5 32.0% 44.4% 2.25 -28.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.6%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.8%

#4 3–1✓ 7.1%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skiljebo2.2

Enskede1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SKILJEBO · PPG 2.20

ENSKEDE · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=53.6%

Win probability 1X2

Skiljebo (H) 53.6%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +4.5%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.8%

Enskede (A) 23.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skiljebo face Enskede in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skiljebo a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Enskede 24%, so Skiljebo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Skiljebo and 1.1 for Enskede (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skiljebo are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Enskede. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +24.0%. This match finished 3-1.

Skiljebo vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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