Falu BS vs Korsnas IF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand Norra Svealand - 11 Saturday, June 6, 2026 14:00

Falu BS PPG 2.20

VS PENDING

Korsnas IF PPG 0.75

Away· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Falu BS face Korsnas IF in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Falu BS a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Korsnas IF 17%, so Falu BS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Falu BS and 0.6 for Korsnas IF (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Falu BS are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.75 for Korsnas IF.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.0%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -10.7%

Draw 20.9%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -5.7%

Away 17.1%

Odds: 5.80 EV: -0.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.40 -26.4%

Over 3.5 30.7% Odds: 1.95 -40.1%

BTTS 48.0% Odds: 1.48 -29.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 3-0

4th 1-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Falu BS

2.04

Korsnas IF

0.60

Model SuggestionHome -10.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -10.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -4.8%

Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=62.0%