Today / VVSB vs UDI 19

VVSB vs UDI 19 Prediction

Group B - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 16:00

VVSB

PPG 2.13 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

UDI 19

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.5%0-21.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.6%1-16.6%1-24.7%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.0%2-18.6%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.2%3-17.5%3-25.3%3-32.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-19.1%4+-26.5%4+-33.1%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.9% — — —

Draw 17.7% — — —

Away win 19.4% — — —

Over 2.5 76.7% — — —

Over 3.5 57.3% — — —

BTTS 70.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob70.4%

H 63% / xG 2.6-1.4 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 7.5%

#3 1–1 6.6%

#4 2–2 6.1%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VVSB2.6

UDI 191.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.7% · O3.5 PROB 57.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VVSB · PPG 2.13

UDI 19 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

VVSB (H) 62.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UDI 19 (A) 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VVSB face UDI 19 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VVSB a 63% chance, the draw 18% and UDI 19 19%, so VVSB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for VVSB and 1.4 for UDI 19 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VVSB are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.50 for UDI 19. This match finished 5-1.

VVSB vs UDI 19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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