Groene Ster vs Noordwijk Prediction

Unknown League Group B - 30 Sportpark Pronsenbroek· Heerlen Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:00

Groene Ster PPG 1.43

4-2 MISS

Noordwijk PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Groene Ster face Noordwijk on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Groene Ster a 28% chance, the draw 24% and Noordwijk 47%, so Noordwijk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Groene Ster and 1.7 for Noordwijk (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Groene Ster are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.87 for Noordwijk. This match finished 4-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 24.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 47.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Groene Ster

1.23

Noordwijk

1.65

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.87)