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Seekirchen vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 12:00

Seekirchen logo
Seekirchen
PPG 2.07 · HOME
4 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Wals-Grunau logo
Wals-Grunau
PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.6% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.7%0-21.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.3%1-15.0%1-23.8%1-31.9%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.9%2-17.5%2-25.7%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.9%3-17.4%3-25.7%3-32.9%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-111.7%4+-28.9%4+-34.5%4+-4+2.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 58.2% 71.4% 1.40 -18.5%
Draw 19.6% 21.1% 4.75 -4.1%
Away win 22.2% 19.2% 5.20 +9.3%
Over 2.5 74.6% 78.1% 1.28 -4.5%
Over 3.5 54.4% 60.6% 1.65 -10.2%
BTTS 63.6% 73.5% 1.36 -13.5%
Home O1.5 74.3% 79.4% 1.26 -6.4%
Away O1.5 44.6% 40.3% 2.48 +10.6%

League track record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 37%
ROI -6.3%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-2
xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.6%

H 58% / xG 3.0-1.5 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%
#2 3–1 7.4%
#3 1–1 5.0%
#4 2–2 5.7%
#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seekirchen3.0
Wals-Grunau1.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.6% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SEEKIRCHEN · PPG 2.07

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.27

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Seekirchen (H) 58.2%
ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -18.5%
Draw 19.6%
ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -4.1%
Wals-Grunau (A) 22.2%
ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +9.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seekirchen face Wals-Grunau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seekirchen a 58% chance, the draw 20% and Wals-Grunau 22%, so Seekirchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Seekirchen and 1.5 for Wals-Grunau (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seekirchen are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.27 for Wals-Grunau. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +10.6%. This match finished 4-2.

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