Leagues / AUSTRIA / Regionalliga - West
Regionalliga - West
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 70 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
55.7%
1X2
39/70
60.0%
O/U 2.5
42/70
58.6%
BTTS
41/70
37.1%
Exact score
26/70
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
20
Settled
65.0%
Hit rate
13/20
1.47
Avg odds
-6.3%
ROI
-1.3u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=13 61.5% HIT · AVG 1.47 · -12.5% ROI
BTTS · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · +53.7% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.53 · +53.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.23 · +23.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+44.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-68.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
15
Bets
73%
Hit
+6.9%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 15 PICKS · 10 HIT · 5 MISS
7 JUN Kuchl vs Bischofshofen Over 2.5 2–0 MISS7 JUN R. Altach B vs Kitzbuhel BTTS -17% 2–5 HIT7 JUN Reichenau vs Saalfelden HO1.5 4–0 HIT7 JUN TSV St. Johann vs W. Innsbruck AO1.5 1–2 HIT6 JUN Seekirchen vs Wals-Grunau Over 2.5 -5% 4–2 HIT6 JUN Schwaz vs Imst Over 2.5 1–2 HIT6 JUN Kufstein vs Lustenau BTTS 4–1 HIT4 JUN Lustenau vs Hohenems Over 2.5 2–2 HIT4 JUN Lauterach vs Kuchl AO1.5 0–3 HIT4 JUN Wals-Grunau vs R. Altach B HO1.5 1–2 MISS4 JUN Kitzbuhel vs TSV St. Johann Over 2.5 -5% 0–0 MISS4 JUN Dornbirn vs Reichenau HO1.5 1–2 MISS3 JUN Bischofshofen vs Schwaz Over 2.5 -8% 4–3 HIT3 JUN Saalfelden vs Seekirchen AO1.5 1–1 MISS3 JUN W. Innsbruck vs Kufstein Home 1–0 HIT