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Seekirchen vs Dornbirn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 31 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Seekirchen

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Dornbirn

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.9%0-23.2%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.1%1-18.3%1-26.6%1-33.6%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.4%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.8%3-16.1%3-24.9%3-32.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.2%4+-24.2%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% 50.0% 2.00 -3.8%

Draw 21.7% 27.8% 3.60 -13.1%

Away win 30.1% 35.7% 2.80 -15.7%

Over 2.5 65.8% 71.4% 1.40 -7.9%

Over 3.5 43.1% 50.5% 1.98 -14.7%

BTTS 63.4% 71.4% 1.40 -11.2%

Home O1.5 62.2% 62.1% 1.61 +0.1%

Away O1.5 47.8% 51.3% 1.95 -6.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seekirchen2.1

Dornbirn1.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SEEKIRCHEN · PPG 2.00

DORNBIRN · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Seekirchen (H) 48.1%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -3.8%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -13.1%

Dornbirn (A) 30.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seekirchen face Dornbirn in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seekirchen a 48% chance, the draw 22% and Dornbirn 30%, so Seekirchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Seekirchen and 1.6 for Dornbirn (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seekirchen are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Dornbirn. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 4-3.

Seekirchen vs Dornbirn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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