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Lauterach vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:00

Lauterach

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Imst

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 69.8% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-13.7%0-25.4%0-35.1%0-4+7.5%1 1-01.9%1-15.5%1-27.9%1-37.6%1-4+11.0%2 2-01.4%2-14.0%2-25.8%2-35.6%2-4+8.1%3 3-00.7%3-12.0%3-22.8%3-32.7%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-11.0%4+-21.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.6% 18.2% 5.50 -1.9%

Draw 21.8% 20.0% 5.00 +5.4%

Away win 60.6% 73.5% 1.36 -17.6%

Over 2.5 69.8% 76.9% 1.30 -9.3%

Over 3.5 63.2% 57.8% 1.73 +9.3%

BTTS 63.0% 70.4% 1.42 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob63.0%

A 61% / xG 1.5-2.9 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.9%

#2 1–3✓ 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.5%

#4 2–2 5.8%

#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lauterach1.5

Imst2.9

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUTERACH · PPG 1.00

IMST · PPG 1.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.79) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Lauterach (H) 17.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -1.9%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +5.4%

Imst (A) 60.6%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lauterach face Imst in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lauterach a 18% chance, the draw 22% and Imst 61%, so Imst are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lauterach and 2.9 for Imst (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lauterach are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.79 for Imst. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.3%. This match finished 1-3.

Lauterach vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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