Today / Austria - Regionalliga - West / Dornbirn vs Reichenau

Dornbirn vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 32 ·Thursday, June 4, 2026, 16:00

Dornbirn

PPG 2.27 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Reichenau

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.8%0-22.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.8%1-18.6%1-24.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.9%2-19.8%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.7%3-17.4%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-17.1%4+-23.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.2% 63.7% 1.57 -13.3%

Draw 21.5% 25.0% 4.00 -8.4%

Away win 23.3% 23.1% 4.33 +0.5%

Over 2.5 64.1% 66.7% 1.50 -3.9%

Over 3.5 40.7% 48.5% 2.06 -16.2%

BTTS 61.4% 66.7% 1.50 -7.9%

Home O1.5 68.8% 69.4% 1.44 -0.9%

Away O1.5 32.0% 38.3% 2.61 -16.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.4%

H 55% / xG 2.3-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 3–1 7.4%

#5 3–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dornbirn2.3

Reichenau1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DORNBIRN · PPG 2.27

REICHENAU · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.27) vs P(Home)=55.2%

Win probability 1X2

Dornbirn (H) 55.2%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -13.3%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.4%

Reichenau (A) 23.3%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dornbirn face Reichenau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dornbirn a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Reichenau 23%, so Dornbirn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Dornbirn and 1.1 for Reichenau (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dornbirn are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 0.93 for Reichenau. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Dornbirn vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

More Austria - Regionalliga - West Predictions