Today / Austria - Regionalliga - West / Lauterach vs Kuchl

Lauterach vs Kuchl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 32 ·Thursday, June 4, 2026, 12:00

Lauterach logo
Lauterach
PPG 0.92 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5
Kuchl logo
Kuchl
PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 81.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-15.3%0-26.8%0-35.8%0-4+7.0%1 1-02.7%1-16.9%1-28.9%1-37.7%1-4+9.1%2 2-01.8%2-14.5%2-25.8%2-35.0%2-4+6.0%3 3-00.8%3-12.0%3-22.6%3-32.2%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.9%4+-21.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 17.8% 15.4% 6.50 +9.4%
Draw 20.8% 16.7% 6.00 +14.9%
Away win 61.4% 80.0% 1.25 -23.3%
Over 2.5 65.4% 73.5% 1.36 -11.1%
Over 3.5 46.8% 54.3% 1.84 -13.9%
BTTS 63.5% 62.5% 1.60 +1.6%
Home O1.5 46.9% 28.6% 3.50 +64.1%
Away O1.5 68.3% 81.3% 1.23 -16.0%

League track record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 37%
ROI -6.3%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob63.5%

A 61% / xG 1.3-2.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.9%
#2 1–1 6.9%
#3 1–3 7.7%
#4 0–2 6.8%
#5 2–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lauterach1.3
Kuchl2.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUTERACH · PPG 0.92

KUCHL · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Lauterach (H) 17.8%
ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +9.4%
Draw 20.8%
ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +14.9%
Kuchl (A) 61.4%
ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -23.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lauterach face Kuchl in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lauterach a 18% chance, the draw 21% and Kuchl 61%, so Kuchl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lauterach and 2.6 for Kuchl (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lauterach are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.86 for Kuchl. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +64.1%. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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