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Lauterach vs Kuchl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West · Matchday 32 ·Thursday, June 4, 2026, 12:00

Lauterach

PPG 0.92 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Kuchl

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5 77% chance

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 81.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-15.3%0-26.8%0-35.8%0-4+7.0%1 1-02.7%1-16.9%1-28.9%1-37.7%1-4+9.1%2 2-01.8%2-14.5%2-25.8%2-35.0%2-4+6.0%3 3-00.8%3-12.0%3-22.6%3-32.2%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.9%4+-21.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.8% 15.4% 6.50 +9.4%

Draw 20.8% 16.7% 6.00 +14.9%

Away win 61.4% 80.0% 1.25 -23.3%

Over 2.5 65.4% 73.5% 1.36 -11.1%

Over 3.5 46.8% 54.3% 1.84 -13.9%

BTTS 63.5% 62.5% 1.60 +1.6%

Home O1.5 46.9% 28.6% 3.50 +64.1%

Away O1.5 68.3% 81.3% 1.23 -16.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob63.5%

A 61% / xG 1.3-2.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.9%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 1–3 7.7%

#4 0–2 6.8%

#5 2–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lauterach1.3

Kuchl2.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUTERACH · PPG 0.92

KUCHL · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

Chance this pick lands

77%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Lauterach (H) 17.8%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +9.4%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +14.9%

Kuchl (A) 61.4%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -23.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lauterach face Kuchl in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lauterach a 18% chance, the draw 21% and Kuchl 61%, so Kuchl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lauterach and 2.6 for Kuchl (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lauterach are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.86 for Kuchl. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +64.1%. This match finished 0-3.

Lauterach vs Kuchl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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