Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.44 -7.7%
Over 3.5 39.4% Odds: 2.00 -21.2%
BTTS 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)