Today / Austria - Regionalliga - West / Bischofshofen vs Schwaz

Bischofshofen vs Schwaz Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 32 ·Wednesday, June 3, 2026, 17:00

Bischofshofen logo
Bischofshofen
PPG 2.07 · HOME
4 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Schwaz logo
Schwaz
PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-15.5%0-23.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.1%1-110.3%1-26.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.6%3-15.9%3-23.8%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.2%4+-22.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.3% 66.7% 1.50 -23.1%
Draw 22.7% 23.1% 4.33 -1.0%
Away win 26.0% 22.2% 4.50 +10.2%
Over 2.5 64.1% 69.4% 1.44 -7.7%
Over 3.5 39.4% 50.0% 2.00 -21.2%
BTTS 61.4% 66.7% 1.50 -7.9%
Home O1.5 55.0% 71.9% 1.39 -23.5%
Away O1.5 32.0% 36.8% 2.72 -13.0%

League track record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 37%
ROI -6.3%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-3
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.4%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 7.5%
#4 1–2 6.6%
#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bischofshofen1.9
Schwaz1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BISCHOFSHOFEN · PPG 2.07

SCHWAZ · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Bischofshofen (H) 51.3%
ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -23.1%
Draw 22.7%
ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -1.0%
Schwaz (A) 26.0%
ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bischofshofen face Schwaz in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bischofshofen a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Schwaz 26%, so Bischofshofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bischofshofen and 1.3 for Schwaz (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bischofshofen are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.47 for Schwaz. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.2%. This match finished 4-3.

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