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Austria - Regionalliga - West logo Austria flag Austria - Regionalliga - West West - 32 Sportplatz Langau· Kitzbühel Thursday, June 4, 2026 12:30
Kitzbuhel logo Kitzbuhel PPG 1.64
0-0 HIT CS4
TSV St. Johann logo TSV St. Johann PPG 0.85
Home· +17.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.8%
Odds: 2.75 EV: +17.7%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -11.1%
Away 34.0%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -28.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.7% Odds: 1.57 -4.7%
Over 3.5 36.6% Odds: 2.38 -12.9%
BTTS 56.0% Odds: 1.50 -16.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Kitzbuhel
1.59
TSV St. Johann
1.17

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+17.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away POOR (0.85)

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