Today / Austria - Regionalliga - West / Hohenems vs W. Innsbruck

Hohenems vs W. Innsbruck Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 31 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Hohenems

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

W. Innsbruck

PPG 2.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-110.4%0-211.5%0-38.6%0-4+8.1%1 1-03.9%1-18.7%1-29.7%1-37.2%1-4+6.8%2 2-01.6%2-13.7%2-24.1%2-33.0%2-4+2.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.0%3-21.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.6% 22.2% 4.50 -23.3%

Draw 21.1% 23.8% 4.20 -6.8%

Away win 65.3% 65.4% 1.53 -0.1%

Over 2.5 64.1% 69.4% 1.44 -7.7%

Over 3.5 40.4% 49.8% 2.01 -18.8%

BTTS 55.3% 67.6% 1.48 -18.2%

Home O1.5 20.6% 36.0% 2.78 -25.6%

Away O1.5 65.3% 71.9% 1.39 -9.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob55.3%

A 65% / xG 0.8-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%

#2 1–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 9.7%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 0–3 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hohenems0.8

W. Innsbruck2.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HOHENEMS · PPG 1.60

W. INNSBRUCK · PPG 2.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.86) vs Home GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Hohenems (H) 13.6%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -23.3%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.8%

W. Innsbruck (A) 65.3%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -0.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hohenems face W. Innsbruck in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hohenems a 14% chance, the draw 21% and W. Innsbruck 65%, so W. Innsbruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Hohenems and 2.2 for W. Innsbruck (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hohenems are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.86 for W. Innsbruck. This match finished 1-4.

Hohenems vs W. Innsbruck Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

More Austria - Regionalliga - West Predictions