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Bischofshofen vs Lauterach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Bischofshofen

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lauterach

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.0%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.4%1-15.8%1-23.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.8%2-18.5%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.6%3-18.2%3-24.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-011.2%4+-112.1%4+-26.6%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.5% 60.6% 1.65 +1.5%

Draw 20.7% 23.8% 4.20 -7.8%

Away win 17.8% 26.3% 3.80 -19.4%

Over 2.5 63.9% 69.4% 1.44 -8.0%

Over 3.5 56.5% 48.5% 2.06 +16.4%

BTTS 59.7% 68.0% 1.47 -12.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 62% / xG 2.9-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 3–0 7.6%

#5 1–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bischofshofen2.9

Lauterach1.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 56.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BISCHOFSHOFEN · PPG 2.00

LAUTERACH · PPG 0.54

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=61.5%

Win probability 1X2

Bischofshofen (H) 61.5%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV +1.5%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -7.8%

Lauterach (A) 17.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bischofshofen face Lauterach in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bischofshofen a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Lauterach 18%, so Bischofshofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Bischofshofen and 1.1 for Lauterach (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bischofshofen are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.54 for Lauterach. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.4%. This match finished 4-1.

Bischofshofen vs Lauterach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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