Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.44 -8.0%
Over 3.5 56.5% Odds: 2.06 +16.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.47 -12.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 3-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=61.5%