Today / Hoogeveen vs DVS 33

Hoogeveen vs DVS 33 Prediction

Group A - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 16:00

Hoogeveen

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

DVS 33

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-16.6%0-26.9%0-34.8%0-4+4.1%1 1-04.3%1-19.0%1-29.4%1-36.6%1-4+5.5%2 2-02.9%2-16.2%2-26.4%2-34.5%2-4+3.8%3 3-01.3%3-12.8%3-22.9%3-32.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.8% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 54.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.3% — — —

BTTS 65.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob65.2%

A 54% / xG 1.4-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.4%

#2 1–1✓ 9.0%

#3 0–2 6.9%

#4 0–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hoogeveen1.4

DVS 332.1

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HOOGEVEEN · PPG 1.57

DVS 33 · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Hoogeveen (H) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

DVS 33 (A) 54.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hoogeveen face DVS 33 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hoogeveen a 25% chance, the draw 21% and DVS 33 54%, so DVS 33 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hoogeveen and 2.1 for DVS 33 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hoogeveen are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.47 for DVS 33. This match finished 1-1.

Hoogeveen vs DVS 33 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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