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Ängby vs Taby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 11 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 11:00

Ängby

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Taby

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.6% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-18.0%0-25.8%0-32.8%0-4+1.4%1 1-07.9%1-111.5%1-28.4%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.3%2-26.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.7%3-14.0%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 2.90 +13.1%

Draw 25.0% 3.65 -5.3%

Away win 35.9% 2.10 -24.6%

Over 2.5 55.5% 1.45 -19.5%

Over 3.5 35.9% 2.15 -22.8%

BTTS 60.6% 1.38 -16.4%

Win probability 1X2

Ängby (H) 39.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +13.1%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -5.3%

Taby (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.8%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob60.6%

A 36% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ängby1.4

Taby1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.5% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ÄNGBY · PPG 1.75

TABY · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Ängby face Taby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ängby a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Taby 36%, so Ängby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ängby and 1.5 for Taby (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ängby are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Taby. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Ängby vs Taby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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