Gute vs Helges Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand Norra Svealand - 10 Saturday, May 30, 2026 10:30

Gute PPG 1.25

1-0 HIT CS5

Helges PPG 0.50

Away· +17.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.4%

Odds: 1.32 EV: -24.2%

Draw 21.4%

Odds: 4.70 EV: +0.4%

Away 21.2%

Odds: 6.10 EV: +17.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.30 -21.9%

Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: 1.78 -34.1%

BTTS 52.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Gute

2.32

Helges

0.81

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -21.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -21.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.50)