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Korsnas IF vs Viggbyholms Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Korsnas IF

PPG 0.60 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Viggbyholms

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.9%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.5%1-111.5%1-25.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.4%2-19.6%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.4%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% 44.4% 2.25 +14.1%

Draw 25.3% 27.4% 3.65 -4.6%

Away win 23.9% 38.2% 2.62 -22.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 70.4% 1.42 -24.0%

Over 3.5 32.0% 48.8% 2.05 -34.4%

BTTS 53.3% 73.5% 1.36 -27.5%

Home O1.5 49.8% 58.8% 1.70 -15.3%

Away O1.5 23.6% 54.1% 1.85 -33.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.3%

H 51% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 2–0 10.4%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Korsnas IF1.7

Viggbyholms0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KORSNAS IF · PPG 0.60

VIGGBYHOLMS · PPG 0.25

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.60) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Korsnas IF (H) 50.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +14.1%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -4.6%

Viggbyholms (A) 23.9%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -22.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Korsnas IF face Viggbyholms in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Korsnas IF a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Viggbyholms 24%, so Korsnas IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Korsnas IF and 0.9 for Viggbyholms (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Korsnas IF are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.25 for Viggbyholms. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Korsnas IF vs Viggbyholms Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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