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Lidingo vs Falu BS Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:45

Lidingo

PPG 0.67 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Falu BS

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 58.2% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-110.9%0-210.6%0-36.9%0-4+5.3%1 1-05.2%1-110.2%1-29.9%1-36.5%1-4+4.9%2 2-02.4%2-14.7%2-24.6%2-33.0%2-4+2.3%3 3-00.8%3-11.5%3-21.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.2% 25.0% 4.00 -9.1%

Draw 22.6% 25.6% 3.90 -7.1%

Away win 56.2% 59.5% 1.68 -5.6%

Over 2.5 55.0% 66.7% 1.50 -17.5%

Over 3.5 36.2% 43.5% 2.30 -16.7%

BTTS 55.3% 66.7% 1.50 -17.1%

Home O1.5 24.0% 39.2% 2.55 -23.3%

Away O1.5 58.2% 64.5% 1.55 -9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob55.3%

A 56% / xG 0.9-2.0 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.2%

#2 0–2 10.6%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lidingo0.9

Falu BS2.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LIDINGO · PPG 0.67

FALU BS · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Lidingo (H) 21.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -9.1%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -7.1%

Falu BS (A) 56.2%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -5.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lidingo face Falu BS in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lidingo a 21% chance, the draw 23% and Falu BS 56%, so Falu BS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Lidingo and 2.0 for Falu BS (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lidingo are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.75 for Falu BS. This match finished 1-1.

Lidingo vs Falu BS Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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