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St George City vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 09:15

St George City

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sydney Olympic

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.8%0-24.5%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.4%1-112.0%1-26.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.2%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.1%3-14.7%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 60.6% 1.65 -22.0%

Draw 25.6% 25.6% 3.90 -0.1%

Away win 27.1% 23.8% 4.20 +8.3%

Over 2.5 53.2% 59.9% 1.67 -11.2%

Over 3.5 31.2% 37.0% 2.70 -15.8%

BTTS 55.4% 60.6% 1.65 -8.6%

Home O1.5 49.0% 60.6% 1.65 -19.1%

Away O1.5 32.0% 33.3% 3.00 -4.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 47% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 0–0 6.8%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St George City1.5

Sydney Olympic1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.2% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ST GEORGE CITY · PPG 1.40

SYDNEY OLYMPIC · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

St George City (H) 47.3%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -22.0%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -0.1%

Sydney Olympic (A) 27.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

St George City face Sydney Olympic in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St George City a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Sydney Olympic 27%, so St George City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for St George City and 1.2 for Sydney Olympic (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St George City are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.75 for Sydney Olympic. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.3%. This match finished 1-1.

St George City vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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