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S George Saints vs Sutherland S. Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 08:30

S George Saints

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Sutherland S.

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-113.7%0-28.9%0-33.9%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.0%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.7%2-16.2%2-24.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.5%3-12.0%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%

Draw 28.2% 29.9% 3.35 -3.3%

Away win 43.1% 44.4% 2.25 -3.0%

Over 2.5 46.8% 55.6% 1.80 -15.8%

Over 3.5 28.0% 33.3% 3.00 -9.6%

BTTS 48.0% 60.6% 1.65 -20.8%

Home O1.5 35.4% 40.8% 2.45 -13.3%

Away O1.5 32.0% 47.6% 2.10 -32.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.0%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 0–1 13.7%

#4 0–2 8.9%

#5 1–2✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S George Saints0.9

Sutherland S.1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

S GEORGE SAINTS · PPG 1.13

SUTHERLAND S. · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

S George Saints (H) 28.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -12.6%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -3.3%

Sutherland S. (A) 43.1%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

S George Saints face Sutherland S. in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S George Saints a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Sutherland S. 43%, so Sutherland S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for S George Saints and 1.3 for Sutherland S. (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S George Saints are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.22 for Sutherland S.. This match finished 1-2.

S George Saints vs Sutherland S. Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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