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Murdoch M. vs Mandurah City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Australia - Western Australia State League 1 logo Australia flag Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Regular Season - 11 Len Shearer Reserve Saturday, June 6, 2026 07:00
Murdoch M. logo Murdoch M. PPG 1.75
VS PENDING
Mandurah City logo Mandurah City PPG 1.20
Home + BTTS· +45.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Murdoch M. face Mandurah City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Murdoch M. a 39% chance, the draw 20% and Mandurah City 41%, so Mandurah City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Murdoch M. and 2.2 for Mandurah City (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Murdoch M. are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.20 for Mandurah City. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +45.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.0%
Odds: 2.90 EV: +13.1%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -18.4%
Away 40.6%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -16.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.6% Odds: 1.40 +3.0%
Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: 1.88 +2.3%
BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.33 -12.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Murdoch M.
2.32
Mandurah City
2.21

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +3.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home + BTTS(+45.8%)

League Track Record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 35%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

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