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Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Floreat Athena

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mandurah City

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.80 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.6%0-21.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.5%1-14.8%1-23.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.5%2-17.5%2-25.2%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.7%3-17.8%3-25.3%3-32.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-113.1%4+-29.0%4+-34.1%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.5% — — —

Draw 15.6% — — —

Away win 20.9% — — —

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.2% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 25.5%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.3%

H 64% / xG 3.1-1.4 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 7.5%

#3 4–1 6.0%

#4 3–0 5.7%

#5 1–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Floreat Athena3.1

Mandurah City1.4

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FLOREAT ATHENA · PPG 3.00

MANDURAH CITY · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Floreat Athena (H) 63.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mandurah City (A) 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Floreat Athena face Mandurah City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Floreat Athena a 64% chance, the draw 16% and Mandurah City 21%, so Floreat Athena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Floreat Athena and 1.4 for Mandurah City (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Floreat Athena are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Mandurah City.

Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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