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Curtin University vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 07:00

Curtin University

PPG 0.10 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLL

0 – 4

FULL TIME

Inglewood United

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-114.7%0-28.8%0-33.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.0%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.9%2-16.0%2-23.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.5% 25.0% 4.00 +26.0%

Draw 27.6% 30.3% 3.30 -5.3%

Away win 40.9% 57.1% 1.75 -28.4%

Over 2.5 44.8% 55.6% 1.80 -19.4%

Over 3.5 26.6% 37.0% 2.70 -16.9%

BTTS 49.1% 60.6% 1.65 -19.0%

Home O1.5 30.6% 32.3% 3.10 -5.1%

Away O1.5 37.2% 58.1% 1.72 -36.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 11.0%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.1%

A 41% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.7%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–0 12.2%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Curtin University0.9

Inglewood United1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CURTIN UNIVERSITY · PPG 0.10

INGLEWOOD UNITED · PPG 1.20

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.30, combined xG 2.11 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Curtin University (H) 31.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +26.0%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.3%

Inglewood United (A) 40.9%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -28.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Curtin University face Inglewood United in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Curtin University a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Inglewood United 41%, so Inglewood United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Curtin University and 1.2 for Inglewood United (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Curtin University are averaging 0.10 points per game versus 1.20 for Inglewood United. This match finished 0-4.

Curtin University vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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